經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家接受三季度問(wèn)卷調(diào)查:貨幣政策感受積極 呼吁加大力度穩(wěn)增長(zhǎng) 受訪者認(rèn)為三季度經(jīng)濟(jì)增速將好于二季度
證券時(shí)報(bào)發(fā)起“時(shí)報(bào)經(jīng)濟(jì)眼:經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家三季度問(wèn)卷調(diào)查”。多數(shù)受訪者對(duì)三季度以來(lái)的宏觀調(diào)控政策感受積極,對(duì)貨幣政策感受更為強(qiáng)烈。受訪者認(rèn)為,三季度經(jīng)濟(jì)增速將好于二季度,當(dāng)前無(wú)需過(guò)多擔(dān)憂通脹壓力,后續(xù)財(cái)政政策應(yīng)重在保民生兜底線,貨幣政策還需加碼穩(wěn)增長(zhǎng)擴(kuò)內(nèi)需,繼續(xù)加大力度做好“保交樓”工作,改善居民消費(fèi)重在穩(wěn)預(yù)期,提振企業(yè)經(jīng)營(yíng)重在擴(kuò)需求。多數(shù)受訪者認(rèn)為三季度國(guó)內(nèi)經(jīng)濟(jì)生產(chǎn)總值(GDP)增速水平將好于二季度,47.37%的受訪者預(yù)計(jì)三季度GDP增速將處在3%~4%區(qū)間。展望未來(lái)貨幣政策施策,有61.84%的受訪者猜測(cè)人民銀行將出臺(tái)更多結(jié)構(gòu)性貨幣政策工具;52.63%的受訪者預(yù)計(jì)央行將下調(diào)中期借貸便利(MLF)等政策性利率。民生銀行首席經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家溫彬告訴記者,由于經(jīng)濟(jì)仍處于弱復(fù)蘇階段,預(yù)計(jì)四季度貨幣政策仍將保持穩(wěn)健偏松基調(diào)。調(diào)查顯示,超八成(85.52%)的受訪者對(duì)下季度股市景氣度預(yù)期中性,而高分組占比較上一季度調(diào)查結(jié)果下降21.26%。對(duì)于樓市,69.74%的受訪者認(rèn)為接下來(lái)需要進(jìn)一步放松限售、限購(gòu)、限貸等限制性政策,以激發(fā)居民購(gòu)房需求;60.53%的受訪者認(rèn)為應(yīng)進(jìn)一步下調(diào)按揭貸款利率,以降低居民還貸成本。(證券時(shí)報(bào))